Lee Congdon Realtor





 

Lee Congdon’s LIVE IN BEAUTY Newsletter

January 2007
 
         
 

Happy New Year!

NOW THAT ARIZONA IS OUR FASTEST GROWING STATE ---WHAT WILL IT MEAN FOR SEDONA?

Let’s begin with some facts. According to census figures for the twelve-month period ending July 1, 2006, Nevada, after a reign of nearly two decades, has lost its crown to Arizona as the fastest growing state in the nation. During that period Arizona’s estimated population grew by 213,311, an increase of 3.6 percent.

What mainly drove this dramatic growth was the simple fact that more people moved in from other states than left – most of them from California. Additionally, immigrants have contributed to the increase, along with Arizonans experiencing more than twice as many births than deaths. (Arizona is simply a healthy place to live!)

What it all boils down to is this. In the old days, Arizona was primarily a retirement haven for Midwest seniors. However, in the last twenty-five years it has evolved into the Promised Land for Californians seeking affordable housing, and a brave New World of opportunity for immigrants arriving from Mexico. Add to that the surge of out-of-state Baby Boomers now searching for a warmer Shangri-La to retire to, and you have Arizona’s ideal demographic success story.

What does this portend for the state’s red jewel, Sedona? A smorgasbord-like influx of new buyers who will be looking for residences ranging from simple manufactured homes to luxurious palatial mansions.

When will this buying tsunami begin? Most likely toward the middle of the year. Already encouraging signs are beginning to appear. National sales of previously owned homes rose 0.6 percent in November following a 0.5 percent rise in October. This marks the first back-to-back sales gains since the spring of 2005. Two other upbeat reports show that new home sales rose 3.4 percent in November, the third “plus” month out of the last four, while December’s Consumer Confidence Index rose to 109.9 from November’s 105.3.

So if you anticipate relocating to Sedona, and have been waiting for prices to go lower, right now is likely to be as low as they are going to get. You can still find motivated sellers willing to negotiate, but if you’re expecting the market to undergo sizable reductions in the months ahead, you are probably waiting in vain. Sedona remains a unique and desirable place to live. Nothing can change that short of the red cliffs and buttes suddenly vanishing.

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